Integrated backcasting modeling system BackES

Advancing optimal management practices and designing relevant policy interventions for maintaining ecosystem services (ES) that satisfy local demand is a challenge in fragile mountain ecosystems. Under OPERAs, a backcasting framework (BackES) is being developed that develops and evaluates a variety of ES transition pathways and identifies types, combinations and timings of policy interventions that increase ES benefits. The underlying agent-based Alpine-Land-Use-Allocation-Model (ALUAM-AB) is tailored to simulate future changes in land use and ES triggered by the combined effects of climate, market and policy changes, while considering individual behaviour of local farmers.

Associated Oppla members

  • Sibyl Hanna BrunnerSibyl Hanna Brunner

    ETH Zurich

    Switzerland More